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Presentation Abstract

Climate Impacts to Groundwater Ponding and Salinity – This engineering and geomorphology team collaborated with the Snohomish Conservation District (SCD) to assess localized and regional climate impacts to groundwater in the lower Stillaguamish and Snohomish River basins. The work contributed to a larger land use and community planning framework seeking solutions that promote both salmon and agricultural resiliency. Results of the assessment were presented to the local community via a series of sessions intentionally designed to facilitate climate change communication and education between the conservation district, flood control districts, Snohomish County, farmers, conservationists, scientists, and engineers. Each session began with presentations from scientists and engineers and ended with collaborative mapping tasks that identified habitat restoration and infrastructure improvement opportunities that could mitigate flood risk, address declining salmon populations, and adapt to rising sea levels and changing hydrology. The climate impacts assessment focused on the effects of localized relative sea level rise (RSLR) and predicted extents of rising groundwater tables and increased salinity intrusion to crop root zones. Tidal attenuation into the groundwater table was predicted using conductivity and water table elevation time series from current and historical groundwater monitoring wells. Increased groundwater ponding due to RSLR was predicted for two aquatic environments (groundwater tables dominated by tidal versus upstream fluvial inputs) via two different methods resulting in summer groundwater ponding maps and spring agricultural cropping access delay maps for existing conditions and future years 2050, 2080, and 2100. Salinity intrusion effects due to RSLR were extrapolated spatially and temporally for the future. Decision-relevant results were synthesized then presented for interpretation by county, farmer, tribal, and other stakeholder groups. Implications for coastal systems, shoreline management, and transportation infrastructure were focused locally on the lower Stillaguamish and Snohomish Rivers.

Session Title

Climate Science 2: Water

Conference Track

SSE8: Climate Change

Conference Name

Salish Sea Ecosystem Conference (2022 : Online)

Document Type

Event

SSEC Identifier

SSE-traditionals-20

Start Date

27-4-2022 9:45 AM

End Date

27-4-2022 11:15 AM

Rights

Copying of this document in whole or in part is allowable only for scholarly purposes. It is understood, however, that any copying or publication of this document for commercial purposes, or for financial gain, shall not be allowed without the author's written permission.

Type

Text

Language

English

COinS
 
Apr 27th, 9:45 AM Apr 27th, 11:15 AM

Climate Impacts to Groundwater Ponding and Salinity – Stillaguamish and Snohomish

Climate Impacts to Groundwater Ponding and Salinity – This engineering and geomorphology team collaborated with the Snohomish Conservation District (SCD) to assess localized and regional climate impacts to groundwater in the lower Stillaguamish and Snohomish River basins. The work contributed to a larger land use and community planning framework seeking solutions that promote both salmon and agricultural resiliency. Results of the assessment were presented to the local community via a series of sessions intentionally designed to facilitate climate change communication and education between the conservation district, flood control districts, Snohomish County, farmers, conservationists, scientists, and engineers. Each session began with presentations from scientists and engineers and ended with collaborative mapping tasks that identified habitat restoration and infrastructure improvement opportunities that could mitigate flood risk, address declining salmon populations, and adapt to rising sea levels and changing hydrology. The climate impacts assessment focused on the effects of localized relative sea level rise (RSLR) and predicted extents of rising groundwater tables and increased salinity intrusion to crop root zones. Tidal attenuation into the groundwater table was predicted using conductivity and water table elevation time series from current and historical groundwater monitoring wells. Increased groundwater ponding due to RSLR was predicted for two aquatic environments (groundwater tables dominated by tidal versus upstream fluvial inputs) via two different methods resulting in summer groundwater ponding maps and spring agricultural cropping access delay maps for existing conditions and future years 2050, 2080, and 2100. Salinity intrusion effects due to RSLR were extrapolated spatially and temporally for the future. Decision-relevant results were synthesized then presented for interpretation by county, farmer, tribal, and other stakeholder groups. Implications for coastal systems, shoreline management, and transportation infrastructure were focused locally on the lower Stillaguamish and Snohomish Rivers.